Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 2645.983198 2863.269625 3083.463540 3323.003053 3575.930140 3834.745618 4119.292329
2025-01-19 2208.263206 2522.982862 2854.252325 3227.746184 3635.930668 4067.306556 4556.463292
2025-01-26 2050.093962 2434.772377 2850.650286 3331.228421 3868.777661 4449.100217 5120.480712
2025-02-02 1912.861433 2348.106860 2829.402777 3397.073376 4044.207261 4754.930771 5590.386570
2025-02-09 1762.534460 2231.085683 2760.115082 3395.793095 4132.887201 4954.805783 5934.549067
2025-02-16 1621.545999 2113.151230 2679.164069 3371.085402 4185.971642 5107.204471 6219.137171
2025-02-23 1532.848509 2050.011238 2655.838761 3407.657092 4305.071840 5331.606670 6583.846638
2025-03-02 1433.428548 1966.963935 2602.709766 3403.297983 4371.394116 5491.292467 6871.222805
2025-03-09 1371.422210 1925.760922 2596.396346 3451.895439 4498.165926 5720.331784 7239.346940
2025-03-16 1278.371458 1839.987806 2530.494143 3423.407092 4528.416951 5832.277711 7467.310543
2025-03-23 1239.872636 1821.540936 2546.297188 3493.975676 4678.044429 6086.570270 7865.460769
2025-03-30 1180.574819 1772.595877 2520.704882 3510.363233 4759.240252 6257.344016 8163.224562
2025-04-06 1116.950400 1715.938924 2484.077810 3512.557981 4823.764439 6410.138475 8443.331224
2025-04-13 1015.684091 1603.695671 2371.051799 3413.140126 4757.611868 6400.387328 8523.877894
2025-04-20 1004.326575 1613.971700 2418.505161 3520.935955 4953.955644 6715.775709 9005.239065
2025-04-27 978.887444 1603.014696 2436.511228 3589.506277 5100.079900 6969.263186 9411.653028
2025-05-04 929.233453 1555.289355 2402.893267 3588.173140 5154.962096 7107.872336 9675.502679
2025-05-11 874.183364 1497.104630 2352.616401 3562.444356 5176.415007 7203.152928 9884.665266
2025-05-18 844.706624 1474.783347 2350.527243 3600.526727 5280.721773 7403.506293 10226.530785
2025-05-25 802.797345 1431.995283 2318.156274 3595.987785 5327.788510 7530.273315 10475.557712
2025-06-01 781.170109 1418.671972 2326.471176 3646.586625 5447.835274 7751.051846 10844.969025
2025-06-08 735.710500 1366.777690 2277.932898 3616.925973 5459.306787 7830.860829 11034.277550
2025-06-15 724.064082 1366.707582 2303.570577 3690.393726 5609.622809 8091.395950 11456.396700